Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000181 0.000201 0.000223 0.000247 0.000275 0.000306 0.000342
2025-03-09 0.000143 0.000171 0.000204 0.000246 0.000298 0.000360 0.000441
2025-03-16 0.000116 0.000146 0.000184 0.000236 0.000304 0.000392 0.000515
2025-03-23 0.000101 0.000134 0.000177 0.000237 0.000322 0.000439 0.000614
2025-03-30 0.000093 0.000128 0.000175 0.000246 0.000350 0.000500 0.000740
2025-04-06 0.000082 0.000117 0.000165 0.000240 0.000356 0.000531 0.000825
2025-04-13 0.000072 0.000105 0.000152 0.000228 0.000350 0.000542 0.000878
2025-04-20 0.000066 0.000099 0.000148 0.000229 0.000364 0.000584 0.000990
2025-04-27 0.000063 0.000096 0.000147 0.000235 0.000385 0.000642 0.001135
2025-05-04 0.000058 0.000091 0.000142 0.000233 0.000393 0.000677 0.001245
2025-05-11 0.000055 0.000087 0.000139 0.000234 0.000407 0.000724 0.001385
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000082 0.000135 0.000232 0.000414 0.000759 0.001505
2025-05-25 0.000048 0.000079 0.000132 0.000233 0.000428 0.000810 0.001672
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000075 0.000128 0.000232 0.000438 0.000857 0.001842
2025-06-08 0.000040 0.000069 0.000120 0.000222 0.000430 0.000865 0.001925
2025-06-15 0.000038 0.000067 0.000118 0.000223 0.000445 0.000922 0.002135
2025-06-22 0.000037 0.000066 0.000120 0.000231 0.000474 0.001017 0.002458
2025-06-29 0.000035 0.000062 0.000115 0.000226 0.000474 0.001046 0.002618
2025-07-06 0.000031 0.000058 0.000107 0.000215 0.000460 0.001037 0.002672
2025-07-13 0.000030 0.000056 0.000106 0.000216 0.000473 0.001098 0.002936
2025-07-20 0.000029 0.000055 0.000106 0.000221 0.000497 0.001188 0.003307
2025-07-27 0.000028 0.000053 0.000103 0.000219 0.000503 0.001235 0.003557
2025-08-03 0.000027 0.000051 0.000102 0.000220 0.000518 0.001307 0.003903